I'm Alive!

Well its been a busy few weeks for me to say the least.

I have successfully moved, though as always there are boxes that remain unpacked and I suspect that they will remain that way for the foreseeable future. And more importantly I have been reconnected with the wonder that is known as the  world wide web.

Due to the lack of time I have not done anything apart from keep up reading the blogs on my reading list over there >>>>. And there is a series of posts coming from SoccerDude over at A Football Traders Path about compiling match odds which is something that every-one should read. Even if you know it all then it's worth a read to top up your knowledge or to help out if (though I imagine it's highly unlikely), something in the post is wrong. But anyway go and read them.

In my last couple of posts I mentioned that my spreadsheet that works out my picks was slightly, nay right royally screwed, so I have decided to go back and re do it. That is still where I am and it's where I shall continue from for now.

Busy Busy Bee

Busy times for me currently, meaning I have not been able to spend much time at all doing what needs to be done with regards to gambling. You see, we are busy packing bits and pieces, tidying this and that and fixing the odd occasional thing in preparation for our move next week.

That's right next week I am moving house, into a house that we can finally call our own, as it is a house that we are buying.

So understandably all gambling related things are temporarilly on hold. I have tried a couple of times to go and correct the errors in my spreadsheets but I keep failing. You know its a bad sign if you cannot get your head around a simple idea/concept, so rather than continue and maybe break them even more I have decided to temporarilly put it on hold untill I can get a little time where my head is with it.

When I get time I do intend to continue with my endeavour, though time may be a luxury I currently may not find.

Strike Two

Just a quick update.

Well yet again my systems have let me down, or should I say that I have let myself down.

I am sure that the eagle eyed amongst you have noticed the errors on my last selections. Fulham Vs Newcastle and I am betting on Liverpool! Eh.

Its the kind of silly things that would be noticed straight away if I was actually putting real money on these picks. But instead I am left with egg on my face yet again. Though as mentioned before I am not too bothered about it as I am working systems out and setting up spreadsheets.

Picks

A few posts ago (here) I asked for a bit of help from my fellow bloggers out there regarding Elo and Poisson. I had a comment from GamblingGeek which resulted in a little email conversation, I must say it was helpful indeed. After reading what GamblingGeek sent me I did understand it better than I ever had done before. Until today, that is when I happen across an excellent post by SoccerDude that literally cements it in my mind, well it's bookmarked for future reference. And I am also adding a Link to his Blog over there on the right. Looking forward to reading some-more of his ".... For Dummies" posts. Keep It Up! My picks for this weekend are below, this time they appear to be correct, yet I may well be missing something that's staring me in the face. Alpha

Norwich City  V Chelsea, bet £5 on Chelsea at odds of 1.62 to return £8.1 a profit of £3.1

Everton  V Blackburn Rovers , bet £9 on Everton at odds of 1.57 to return £14.13 a profit of £5.13

Fulham  V Newcastle United , bet £6 on Liverpool at odds of 4 to return £24 a profit of £18

Queens Park Rangers  V Wigan Athletic , bet £2 on Wolves at odds of 2.05 to return £4.1 a profit of £2.1

Stoke City  V West Bromwich Albion , bet £2 on Stoke at odds of 1.95 to return £3.9 a profit of £1.9

Bravo

Norwich City  V Chelsea, bet £5 on The Draw at odds of 4.2 to return £21 a profit of £16

Everton  V Blackburn Rovers , bet £9 on The Draw at odds of 4 to return £36 a profit of £27

Fulham  V Newcastle United , bet £6 on The Draw at odds of 3.5 to return £21 a profit of £15

Queens Park Rangers  V Wigan Athletic , bet £2 on The Draw at odds of 3.4 to return £6.8 a profit of £4.8

Stoke City  V West Bromwich Albion , bet £2 on The Draw at odds of 3.5 to return £7 a profit of £5

Dand

Norwich City  V Chelsea, bet £5 on Norwich at odds of 6 to return £30 a profit of £25

Everton  V Blackburn Rovers , bet £9 on Wigan at odds of 7 to return £63 a profit of £54

Fulham  V Newcastle United , bet £6 on Aston Villa at odds of 2.05 to return £12.3 a profit of £6.3

Queens Park Rangers  V Wigan Athletic , bet £2 on QPR at odds of 4.2 to return £8.4 a profit of £6.4

Stoke City  V West Bromwich Albion , bet £2 on Swansea at odds of 4.33 to return £8.66 a profit of £6.66

Betting Blog Banter

Tonight I am Introducing the Betting Blog Banter.

The Betting Blog Banter aims to be a collection of posts from different bloggers all discussing the same topic or question from differing perspectives. I know I have seen a post on one blog discussing a topic and then I have came across a blog days later discussing the same topic just by chance. Well, no more, there will be a dedicated page listing all blogs and posts discussing the same topic.

What Do I Need To Do To Join?

Simple. Just send me a message in the form of an email and I will add you to the list.

Who Will Chose The Questions?

All members of the BBB can submit topics or questions to me and I will randomly select one. The questions or topics need to come from you guys as I can't think of them all.

So I Have The Topic What Next

Once you receive the topic or question for discussion then you need to write a post about it. You must include at the top the question in full and a link to the author of the topics blog. At the end of your post you should include a link to the list of Blog Banter posts on my page.

When can I publish My Post?

This will take a bit of trial and error. I will create a page when I mail out the question or topic that I will set up to be posted on a friday. When you have written your post send me the title of the post and a link to it and also set it up to be published on the friday. In theory my post shall automatically publish on a friday with working links to your automatically published posts. I say hopefully.

Who Can Join?

Anyone! Just mail me and I will include you on the next BB.

I aim for this to be enjoyable and to provoke civil discussion, I don't want it to feel like a chore to the members. If you don't have an opinion that will fill a post then comment on some ones blog. You don't have to commit to a post on every subject, I for one can't really say anything much about trading for example.

I don't know if there will actually be enough topics to discuss but we will see. I suppose we could discuss something else if topics start to dry out.

So comment your interest and drop me an email at bubblesbrian@gmail.com

Sent from my BlackBerry® wireless device

What A Right Royal Cock Up!!!!

Damn It, F%^&K It and all the rest.

Just been to update my predictions to see where I stand and oh boy. My selections were wrong and screwed. For some reason my SS is showing that team is playing that team when the teams I selected are correct yet I was told to pick a team that didn't exist or should I say playing a team that they are not playing and I didn't notice.

I'm glad that I am currently paper trading these systems as this is the time that I need to iron out all the problems that I come across. I admit that it's a bit embarrassing that my issues and problems are here for the whole world to see, yet that is the point of this blog. To show the journey that some-one with no knowledge of the betting world can progress to either a point where it's not worth continuing or getting to a point where I am regularly making a profit. Showing all my ups and downs, and my process to overcome any problems encountered.

It's annoying as hell for certain, but it's mistakes that I NEED to learn in order to better myself. I will still continue to pick bets as I have been, as a way of picking up on any issues, and go from there. I now think that the next season will be when I start going for real. As it may not be worth it to play for real with only a few games left or just under half a season.

Brian

Weekend Picks 13th Jan 2011

Well its been a busy week for me, but here are my picks for this weekend.

Alpha In the Swansea V Everton game, bet £1 on Everton at odds of 3.2 to return £3.2 a profit of £2.2 In the Blackburn Rov V Aston Villa game, bet £7 on Aston Villa at odds of 2.5 to return £17.5 a profit of £10.5 In the Chelsea V WBA game, bet £11 on Chelsea at odds of 1.44 to return £15.84 a profit of £4.84 In the Liverpool V Stoke game, bet £2 on Liverpool at odds of 1.44 to return £2.88 a profit of £0.88 In the Man Utd V Wigan game, bet £17 on Man Utd at odds of 1.17 to return £19.89 a profit of £2.89 Bravo In the Swansea V Everton game, bet £1 on On The Draw at odds of 3.3 to return £3.3 a profit of £2.3 In the Blackburn Rov V Aston Villa game, bet £7 on On The Draw at odds of 3.4 to return £23.8 a profit of £16.8 In the Chelsea V WBA game, bet £11 on Chelsea at odds of 1.44 to return £15.84 a profit of £4.84 In the Liverpool V Stoke game, bet £2 on On The Draw at odds of 4.5 to return £9 a profit of £7 In the Man Utd V Wigan game, bet £17 on Man Utd at odds of 1.17 to return £19.89 a profit of £2.89 Dand In the Swansea V Everton game, bet £1 on Swansea at odds of 2.5 to return £2.5 a profit of £1.5 In the Blackburn Rov V Aston Villa game, bet £7 on Blackburn Rov at odds of 3 to return £21 a profit of £14 In the Chelsea V WBA game, bet £11 on WBA at odds of 9 to return £99 a profit of £88 In the Liverpool V Stoke game, bet £2 on Stoke at odds of 9 to return £18 a profit of £16 In the Man Utd V Wigan game, bet £17 on Wigan at odds of 19 to return £323 a profit of £306

Let's see how things go for this week hey. Be nice to see another result for the system like two weeks ago. Just a crying shame there was no real money on it but hey live and learn hey.